Would Macron or Le Pen be better for Brexit?


Brussels-20. mcmay

How would UK fortunes under Brexit differ depending on whether Emmanuel Macron or Marine Le Pen won the French presidency?

It's not completely clear cut, but if Macron - who is a big supporter of the EU - wins, then it is a vote of confidence in the European ideal and Brexit negotiations will continue as at present. If Le Pen wins, it would be very destabilising for the EU with France potentially leaving the Euro and having an "in-out" referendum on EU membership. If France were to leave the EU, that would put the institution into chaos and could make it impossible for the UK to negotiate a good deal.

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